Varun Kotte

Research

One line of work: the reliability of retrieval and LLM systems. Knowing when a generated answer can be trusted, and getting there without overspending compute. It runs from a co-authored production RAG method to sole-authored work on calibrated abstention, cross-model reliability, evaluation, and model selection. Select any paper for the summary and a link.

Publications

Selected

When Can Conformal Risk Control Certify LLM Outputs? Bounds, Impossibility, and Adaptation

preprint
When an LLM answer can be certified against a stated risk target, and when it cannot.

Asks when conformal risk control can place a distribution-free guarantee on an LLM output, and proves when it cannot. Heuristic abstention rules miss their stated risk targets by 15 to 40%, while adaptive conformal inference cuts cross-dataset coverage violations from 71% to 21%. The paper adds an impossibility result, a strict hierarchy of bounds, and a closed-form feasibility test for whether a chosen risk target is even reachable.

Sole-authored.

Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Domain-Specific Question Answering

AAAI 2024 · SDU Workshop
Adobe's production RAG method. Cited 50+ times by independent groups.

A retrieval-augmented generation approach for closed, domain-specific question answering that uses user interaction signals to improve retrieval and reduce ungrounded answers. It underpins production question answering at Adobe and has been built on by independent academic and industry groups.

Co-author (one of eight). Cited 50+ times.

EVICT: Evidence-Sufficiency Verification via Counterfactual Dropout for Visually-Grounded Selective QA

CVPR · GRAIL-V
A training-free probe that catches answers not actually grounded in the evidence.

Vision-language models often answer confidently while relying on the wrong evidence. EVICT tests this directly: it masks the image region the model claims to depend on, then re-runs the same question. If the answer does not change, the model was not actually using the evidence it cited, and the answer is flagged as unverified.

The probe needs no training and no ground-truth labels, so it is cheap to run as a reliability guardrail on top of an existing model. Its honest limitation: it detects evidence-independence, not correctness. An answer can be genuinely grounded and still wrong.

Sole-authored. Published at the CVPR 2026 GRAIL-V workshop.

PASC: Pipeline-Aware Conformal Prediction for Multi-Stage NLP Pipelines

ICML · EIML
Distribution-free coverage guarantees for the whole pipeline, not each stage in isolation.

In a multi-stage system (NER → disambiguation → typing) errors compound, so calibrating each stage alone under-covers while a Bonferroni union bound over-covers. PASC reduces joint coverage to a single conformal problem on the pipeline's maximum nonconformity score.

On a three-stage pipeline over CoNLL-2003 it reaches 96.4% end-to-end coverage versus 93.4% (Bonferroni) and 86.5% (independent calibration), at the same prediction-set size, and empirically holds target coverage under distribution shift, where independent calibration collapses to 59%.

Sole-authored.

PromptPort: A Reliability Layer for Cross-Model Structured Extraction

preprint
Keeps structured output valid when the same prompt behaves differently across models.

Formalizes "format collapse," where one prompt yields clean JSON on one model and malformed output on another, and adds a canonicalization and verification layer so strict parsers stop rejecting correct extractions.

It repairs form, not meaning: it can rescue a malformed-but-correct extraction, but it will not catch a confidently wrong one.

Sole-authored.

Workshop papers

Forecasting Model Success at Inference Time: Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Cost-Optimal LLM Cascades

ICML · Forecast
Per-query success forecasts route work through cheap-then-expensive cascades.

Predicts, per query, whether a smaller model will succeed, and uses that calibrated forecast to escalate only the queries it is likely to fail. Because the forecast is calibrated, the routing threshold maps directly to a chosen cost/quality operating point. On a 75,000-query production named-entity workload, calibration cut expected calibration error from 0.12 to 0.03, and the resulting cascade reached 0.91 micro-F1 at 31% lower cost than always using the large model.

Sole-authored.

Two Wrongs, No Right: Opposing Measurement Failures in LLM Annotators for Civic Discourse

ICML · AI4GOOD
LLM annotators can fail in two opposite directions at once.

When LLMs annotate contested social and political text they fail in opposite directions at once, one model over-flags where another under-flags, and they can underestimate how much opposition a population holds by 24 to 40 points. Worse, aggregate accuracy can look near-perfect through “accidental cancellation” while both directional errors stay large.

Sole-authored.

Not All Queries Need Rewriting: When Prompt-Only LLM Refinement Helps and Hurts Dense Retrieval

ICLR · CAO
Prompt-only query rewriting in RAG helps in some domains and hurts in others.

Shows that rewriting a query before retrieval is strongly domain-dependent, it helped on TREC-COVID but hurt on FiQA, because rewrites that swap out domain-specific terms degrade queries that already matched well.

Sole-authored.

The Compositional Generalization Gap in Named Entity Recognition

ANNPR 2026 · oral
Static NER benchmarks overstate transferable performance under compositional shift.

Standard NER benchmarks reuse the same entities across train and test, so a high score can reflect memorization rather than generalization. This measures how far those scores overstate performance once entity types recombine into novel, unseen compositions, the conditions production systems actually face, and argues for evaluation that reflects them.

Accepted for oral presentation at ANNPR 2026 (Springer proceedings); also presented as a poster at the ICML 2026 CompLearn workshop.

Sole-authored.

Architecture-Homogeneous Model Selection for Representational Alignment

ICLR 2026 · Re4-Align Challenge
Model choice can drive a representational-alignment score; picking architecture-homogeneous models removes that confound.

When you compare two models by their internal representations, which models you pick can drive the result. This selects architecture-homogeneous models so an alignment score reflects the representations themselves, not architectural confounds.

Sole-authored.

Also

The Modality Neglect Problem: Measuring Visual Reliance in Vision-Language Models

ACM Multimedia 2026 · Brave New Ideas
Sole-authored. Accepted (poster); ACM proceedings to appear.

The Unverifiable Output Problem: Why Scaling Cannot Fix Self-Verification in Vision-Language Models

ACM Multimedia 2026 · Brave New Ideas
Sole-authored. Accepted (poster); ACM proceedings to appear.

Unified LLM-Orchestrated Data-Engineering Pipelines

IEEE GCWCN 2025
Co-author. Conference paper; proceedings record to be linked.
Patent

Generating Answers to Contextual Queries within a Closed Domain

application
Named inventor. US Patent Application 2025/0252265 A1, Adobe Inc.; published August 2025. Google Patents →